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Blog » Money Tips » Red Sea Tensions Impact Trade, Shipping, and Investments

Red Sea Tensions Impact Trade, Shipping, and Investments

Updated on March 15th, 2024
Red Sea Tensions

As an investor, it is essential to be aware of global events, especially those that potentially impact markets and trade. One ongoing situation of concern is the escalation of tensions in the Red Sea, with tensions flaring as a result of actions taken by various actors, including the United States and Iran.

See also: Wealth is Like Sea Water

In this article, we delve into the increasing dangers of the Red Sea, the impacts on economies and investors, and how you might protect your portfolio in light of these developments.

U.S. naval intervention against Iranian-backed militant ships

Recently, U.S. naval helicopters have been called upon to engage with three militant ships backed by Iran. These ships, operated by the Houthi militant group, were targeting commercial vessels in the Red Sea. The purpose of these intervention efforts was to counter the hijack attempts made by these Iranian-backed militants. Since November last year, the Houthi militant group has either hijacked or attempted to hijack a total of 23 ships in the Red Sea.

The Houthi militant group enjoys significant support from Iran, which in turn has its reasons for supporting these actions. One primary motive lies in the ongoing alliance between the U.S. and Israel during the Israel-Hamas conflict. It is worth noting that, comparable to the Houthi group, Hamas is also backed by the Iranian government.

Thinking about the impact of such situations on international trade and markets generally, the presence of militant hijacker ships has instilled fear and disrupted shipping routes. Historically, the Red Sea has facilitated approximately 12% of all global trade, including a significant proportion of international oil shipments.

The impact of hijack attempts on shipping routes

As a result of the existing threats posed by hijackers within the region, many commercial vessels are choosing to avoid shipping through the Red Sea altogether. Instead, more ships are opting for a much lengthier 15,000-mile detour around the African continent. Naturally, this alternate route contributes to trade delays and increased costs, which can be passed on to consumers and impact the prices of various goods and services. This can result in negative consequences for businesses and the wider economy.

The Iranian response: Warship monitoring in the Red Sea

Following the U.S. action against Iranian-backed militant vessels, Iran has elected to send one of their warships to monitor events and movements within the Red Sea. This direct approach is an escalation from the previous strategy of using proxy militant groups to wage regional conflict.

The increasing tensions within the Red Sea, apart from generally disrupting global trade, directly impact oil prices. The fear of military conflict has consequences for broader market stability.

Implications for investors and the importance of portfolio protection

Investors should be aware of the potential ramifications of escalating tensions in the Red Sea. It is crucial to recognize that while these events may not substantially impact markets immediately, the possibility of a sudden change in circumstances can lead to a dramatic effect all at once.

In light of such potential uncertainty, investors are advised to take steps to build protection into their portfolios. Mitigating the risks associated with rising geopolitical tensions involves ensuring that your investments are safeguarded against potential disruptions in global trade, fluctuations in oil prices, and a generally unsettled market.

While the specifics might differ across individual portfolios, investors could consider diversifying their investments across different asset classes and countries. They could also explore incorporating sector-specific hedges, options to put contracts that safeguard against declining stock prices, or investing in less volatile assets like gold or other commodities.

In conclusion, it is crucial for investors to not only monitor developments in the Red Sea but also prepare their portfolios for potential fallout from these escalating tensions. By exercising caution and building in defensive measures, investors can navigate the uncertainty and protect themselves from potential market fluctuations tied to geopolitical conflicts.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why are tensions rising in the Red Sea?

Tensions are rising in the Red Sea due to actions taken by various actors, including the United States and Iran. U.S. naval helicopters have recently engaged with Iranian-backed militant ships attempting to hijack commercial vessels in the region. These actions, along with Iran’s response of sending a warship to monitor events in the Red Sea, have escalated tensions in the area.

How do hijack attempts in the Red Sea impact shipping routes?

Hijack attempts in the Red Sea disrupt shipping routes as commercial vessels choose to avoid the region due to safety concerns. This has led to many ships opting for a longer 15,000-mile detour around the African continent, resulting in trade delays and increased costs that can impact the prices of various goods and services, businesses, and the wider economy.

How does this situation affect oil prices and market stability?

The increasing tensions within the Red Sea, apart from disrupting global trade, directly impact oil prices. The fear of military conflict can undermine broader market stability and cause fluctuations in oil prices, disrupting businesses and economies globally.

As an investor, how can I protect my portfolio from rising geopolitical tensions?

To mitigate the risks of rising geopolitical tensions, investors should consider diversifying their investments across different asset classes and countries. Additionally, they could explore incorporating sector-specific hedges, options to put contracts that safeguard against declining stock prices, or investing in less volatile assets like gold or other commodities. Building protection into your portfolio is essential to safeguard against potential disruptions in global trade, fluctuations in oil prices, and generally unsettled markets.

Taylor Sohns MBA, CIMA®, CFP®

Taylor Sohns MBA, CIMA®, CFP®

Taylor Sohns is the Co-Founder at LifeGoal Wealth Advisors. He received his MBA in Finance. He currently has his Certified Investment Management Analyst (CIMA) and a Certified Financial Planner (CFP). Taylor has spent decades on Wall Street helping create wealth.

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